Analisis Keterkaitan antara Perilaku Investor dan Volatilitas Pasar
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61132/jubid.v2i2.971Keywords:
Investment Decisions, Investor Emotions, Investor Experience, Market Volatility, Risk PerceptionAbstract
Financial markets are a crucial component of the global economy, where market volatility is a primary concern for investors. This study aims to analyze the relationship between investor behavior and market volatility, focusing on how sentiment and trading behavior influence stock price dynamics. Understanding this relationship can offer valuable insights for investors and policymakers in managing market fluctuations. The study used primary data from questionnaires distributed to 400 investors. The results indicate that risk perception, investment decisions, and investor experience have a positive and significant effect on the perception of market volatility. In contrast, investor emotions, such as fear and anxiety, negatively affect their perception of volatility. The level of uncertainty investors experience significantly influences their assessment of market fluctuations. A higher perceived risk leads to a stronger tendency to perceive increased market volatility. Furthermore, the actions of investors in the stock market impact their perceptions of price changes. More active investors tend to be more aware and sensitive to market fluctuations, while those influenced by negative emotions may underestimate the extent of market changes, leading to a lower perceived volatility. Investors often ignore important market signals when trying to avoid losses, which can impact their investment decisions. Experienced investors, having encountered various market cycles, are better at handling market fluctuations. Their ability to analyze and interpret market information allows them to manage risks more effectively and optimize long-term investment returns.
Downloads
References
Aloui, D., & Ben Maatoug, A. (2024). How is the ECB's quantitative easing transmitted to the financial markets? Studies in Economics and Finance, 41(2), 268–285. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-02-2022-0108
Awalakki, M., & Archanna, H. (2023). Exploring the dynamics of investor attention and market volatility: A behavioral finance perspective. International Journal of Science and Research (IJSR), 12(8), 2245–2251. https://doi.org/10.21275/SR23823155339
Bouri, E., Demirer, R., Gabauer, D., & Gupta, R. (n.d.). Financial market connectedness: The role of investors’ happiness. (n.p.).
Breckinridge. (2024). Komentar pasar Desember 2024. https://www.breckinridge.com/insights/details/december-2024-market-commentary/
Cevik, E., Altinkeski, B. K., Cevik, E. I., & Dibooglu, S. (2022). Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Financial Innovation, 8, Article 63. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-022-00375-0
Darvishan, S., Heidari, S., & Zarei, M. (2024). Investigating the impact of investor sentiment and volatility on investment behavior in the gold market. Journal of Accounting, Finance and Economic Studies, 4(4), 136–143. https://doi.org/10.61186/jafes.4.4.136
Databoks. (2025). Pasar modal RI kian ramai, ada 15 juta investor awal 2025. https://databoks.katadata.co.id/pasar/statistik/67e0e61ebe981/pasar-modal-ri-kian-ramai-ada-15-juta-investor-awal-2025
Fu, J., Wu, X., Liu, Y., & Chen, R. (2021). Firm-specific investor sentiment and stock price crash risk. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101442. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101442
Gong, X., Zhang, W., Wang, J., & Wang, C. (2022). Investor sentiment and stock volatility: New evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 80, 102028. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102028
Griffith, J., Najand, M., & Shen, J. (2020). Emotions in the stock market. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 21(1), 42–56. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2019.1588275
Guo, X., Gu, C., Zhang, C., & Li, S. (n.d.). Institutional herding and investor sentiment (pp. 1–36).
Haritha, P. H., & Rishad, A. (2020). An empirical examination of investor sentiment and stock market volatility: Evidence from India. (n.p.).
Hisam, M. (2024). Menavigasi volatilitas pasar: Wawasan tentang instrumen keuangan dan strategi investasi. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah, 2(2), 315–328. https://doi.org/10.32806/ccy.v2i2.248
Huber, C., Huber, J., & Kirchler, M. (2022). Volatility shocks and investment behavior. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 194, 56–70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.12.007
Irton, I. (2021). Investor behavior in Islamic capital markets: Study on Muslim students of Universitas Amikom Yogyakarta. Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis: Performa, 18(2), 45–60. https://doi.org/10.29313/performa.v18i3.7986
Marfatia, H. A. (2020). Investors’ risk perceptions in the US and global stock market integration. Research in International Business and Finance, 52, 101169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.101169
N, S., & Naik, S. (2021). Investor sentiment and stock return volatility: Evidence from the Indian Stock Exchange. Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Administration. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1108/APJBA-11-2020-0405
Rupande, L., Muguto, H. T., & Muzindutsi, P. (2019). Investor sentiment and stock return volatility: Evidence from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1), 1600233. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1600233
Serrano, P., Vaello-Sebastià, A., & Vich-Llompart, M. M. (2024). The international linkages of market risk perception. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 72, 100826. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100826
Stamos, M. (2023). Forecasting stock market volatility. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 49(4), 129–137. https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2022.1.452
Xiao, J., Jiang, J., & Zhang, Y. (2024). Policy uncertainty, investor sentiment, and good and bad volatilities in the stock market: Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 84, 102303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102303
Zachary Taylor. (2024). Behavioral finance: Investor psychology and market outcomes. International Journal of Finance, 9(4). https://doi.org/10.47941/ijf.2113
Zd, N. S. (2020). Prediksi pergerakan volatilitas pasar saham berdasarkan financial news. https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:212871698
Zhang, Y., He, J., He, M., & Li, S. (2023). Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective. Finance Research Letters, 53, 103620. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103620
Zhou, L., & Yang, C. (2020). Investor sentiment, investor crowded-trade behavior, and limited arbitrage in the cross-section of stock returns. Empirical Economics, 59, 1767–1792. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-019-01630-7
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Jurnal Bisnis Inovatif dan Digital

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


